Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
KR Reykjavík vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KR Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
FYL
0 - 3
KRR
24%
25%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
KRR
5 - 1
GÖT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
KRR
3 - 2
KEF
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
GÖT
1 - 3
KRR
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 3
KRR
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
KOS
1 - 0
ZIL
36%
28%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ZIL
0 - 0
DAC
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DUB
1 - 0
ZIL
25%
30%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ZIL
2 - 1
TAT
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 3
ZIL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |