Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
6º
3º
5
10º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 53 |
2º
|
9% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 53 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 51 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 51 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 51 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 49 |
7º
|
5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 46 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 44 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 44 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 43 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
14º
|
4% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
15º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 42 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 40 |
18º
|
10% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
13.5% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
20.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
WLO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
GDA
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
AEP
1 - 0
WAR
4%
10%
86%
|
78 | 11 | 67 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
WAR
6 - 0
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GKS
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
NKN
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 1
RAP
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ZAL
4 - 3
BUD
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
ZAL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |