Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Legia Warszawa vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
WAR
4 - 1
STO
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
2 - 0
WAR
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
WAR
1 - 0
DYS
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
POL
1 - 1
WAR
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
WAR
3 - 3
RCH
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
2 - 3
PES
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
1 - 1
NAP
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
2 - 0
WAR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
3 - 2
PIA
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |