Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 9-0
Legia Warszawa vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
WAR
1 - 1
OWD
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
WAR
1 - 1
LPO
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 5
WAR
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 2
WAR
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
WAR
2 - 2
ZAL
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
VAR
3 - 0
OSO
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
SAS
0 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 5
WAR
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 1
JUG
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
CEM
3 - 1
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |