Champions League 1/16
Global 10-1
Legia Warszawa vs UTA Arad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 0
STA
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
POG
0 - 1
WAR
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
WAR
3 - 1
ZAG
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
UTA
1 - 2
WAR
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
ODR
0 - 4
WAR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
UTA
3 - 1
UCL
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
FAR
3 - 1
UTA
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
UTA
1 - 2
WAR
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
UTA
1 - 1
RAP
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
JIU
1 - 0
UTA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |