Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Legia Warszawa vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1968 |
WAR
2 - 0
KSV
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
KSV
1 - 0
WAR
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
MUN
2 - 3
WAR
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
WAR
6 - 0
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
WAR
2 - 2
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
UJP
9 - 1
ARI
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 2
UJP
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
UJP
1 - 1
LEE
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
LEE
4 - 1
UJP
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
UJP
4 - 0
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |