Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
POD
1 - 0
WAR
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
WAR
3 - 1
STO
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | -3 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 0
KRA
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
DYN
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 3
STA
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
RAK
0 - 1
POG
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
DIN
2 - 0
RAK
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 2
RAK
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
RAK
2 - 2
ZOR
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PGL
0 - 0
RAK
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |