Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
7º
9
6º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
6% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
12% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
BIF
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 2
WAR
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 3
WAR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
PGL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 5
WAR
26%
23%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Radomiak Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
1 - 2
RAD
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
RAD
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |