Legia Warszawa vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
WIS
2 - 0
WAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
WAR
2 - 1
GÓR
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WAR
0 - 1
DYS
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LPO
1 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
WAR
1 - 3
AUS
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
OWD
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
DYS
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
CRA
2 - 1
POL
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
POL
1 - 1
ZAL
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
1 - 0
POL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |