Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Legia Warszawa vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LUG
1 - 3
WAR
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
WAR
2 - 0
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
GWA
0 - 1
WAR
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
WAR
0 - 0
SZO
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
ZAG
3 - 2
WAR
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LUG
1 - 3
WAR
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
FCB
3 - 0
LUG
84%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCB
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |