Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Legia Warszawa vs Gomel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2008 |
WAR
0 - 0
WIS
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 1
TSP
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 2
WAR
37%
29%
35%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
RCH
0 - 0
WAR
39%
28%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ZAL
1 - 1
WAR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2008 |
GOM
2 - 2
NEM
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
SKV
0 - 0
GOM
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GOM
4 - 3
DNP
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SMO
2 - 0
GOM
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GOM
0 - 1
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |