Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Legia Warszawa vs Galatasaray SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1970 |
WAR
1 - 0
SZO
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
GAL
1 - 1
WAR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
WAR
3 - 0
RCH
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 1
WAR
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
TSP
3 - 2
WAR
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
VEF
0 - 2
GAL
26%
30%
44%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
GAL
1 - 1
WAR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
IST
0 - 0
GAL
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ALT
0 - 0
GAL
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VEF
0 - 0
GAL
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |