Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-0
Legia Warszawa vs FC Drita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
4 - 1
RAD
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
BIF
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 2
WAR
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 3
WAR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
PGL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
AUD
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
FCD
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 1
FCD
50%
23%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |