Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Legia Warszawa vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
WAR
4 - 0
ZAL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
BIF
1 - 1
WAR
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
MET
0 - 1
WAR
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
WAR
3 - 0
MET
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
WAR
4 - 1
RCH
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BIF
3 - 1
MID
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
BIF
1 - 1
WAR
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ESB
2 - 1
BIF
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
FLO
1 - 4
BIF
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
BIF
2 - 2
OBK
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |