Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Legia Warszawa vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
TSP
0 - 0
WAR
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
ATM
1 - 0
WAR
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
ZAG
0 - 2
WAR
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
WAR
3 - 1
WIS
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
GÓR
3 - 1
WAR
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
ATM
1 - 0
WAR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |