Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 0-1
Legia Warszawa vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARK
0 - 1
WAR
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 1
WAR
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 0
DCI
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ZEN
2 - 0
WAR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 0
ULS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 2
AJA
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 3
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |