Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Legia Warszawa vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1964 |
WAR
1 - 0
GAL
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1964 |
GAL
1 - 0
WAR
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
WAR
2 - 1
GAL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
WAR
1 - 0
ADM
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ADM
1 - 3
WAR
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
9 - 0
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
6 - 4
HER
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
1 - 2
M05
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
FCN
2 - 2
MUN
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
M05
2 - 2
MUN
16%
20%
64%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |