Kozuv Gevgelija vs Aresimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozuv Gevgelija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KGE
4 - 1
OSO
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
KGE
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
2 - 2
SAS
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 1
AKP
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 3
KGE
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aresimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OHR
2 - 4
ARE
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
4 - 2
BEL
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
ARE
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 2
OSO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |