AEP Kozani vs Ethnikos Filippiada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Kozani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
KER
0 - 5
KOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
KOZ
2 - 3
KAS
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ODY
2 - 0
KOZ
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
KOZ
2 - 2
DOX
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PYR
2 - 0
KOZ
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ethnikos Filippiada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 0
OIK
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 0
ETH
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
KAM
3 - 1
ETH
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ETH
3 - 0
TIL
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DOX
1 - 2
ETH
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |