Kozakken Boys vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
77.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozakken Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 0
DET
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 1
KOZ
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KOZ
4 - 1
GEN
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JOD
4 - 0
KOZ
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
KOZ
0 - 4
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
ADO
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
MFK
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 0
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |