Kozakken Boys vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozakken Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
KOZ
5 - 0
DET
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HHC
4 - 3
KOZ
46%
23%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KOZ
1 - 1
AFC
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IJS
1 - 0
KOZ
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LIE
2 - 0
KOZ
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
JUT
1 - 4
GRA
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
RKC
0 - 0
GRA
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
BVO
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 2
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |