Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozakken Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 3
KOZ
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KOZ
0 - 0
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
KOZ
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
KOZ
3 - 1
EXC
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
KOZ
3 - 0
SCH
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BVO
3 - 1
UTR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
UTR
4 - 2
NAC
60%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 3
RJC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
4 - 1
BOS
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |