Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Termalica Nieciecza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
15º
15º
45
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 83% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
POG
2 - 1
KOT
32%
25%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 1
ODR
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 1
PUS
30%
25%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 2
KOT
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 1
WAR
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Termalica Nieciecza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
TER
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
MIE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 2
TER
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
ARK
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
TER
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |