Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Stal Stalowa Wola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
15º
15º
11
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
POG
0 - 0
KOT
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
KOT
3 - 1
GRY
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
KOT
2 - 1
GOR
75%
18%
8%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KOT
1 - 2
CHO
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GKS
4 - 0
KOT
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stal Stalowa Wola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
STA
3 - 3
WIE
29%
23%
47%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
STA
1 - 4
CHE
72%
17%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
STA
3 - 0
STS
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 1
RES
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 0
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |