Kottern vs Unterhaching II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
8º
5º
12
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
KOT
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 3
DEI
35%
23%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
MEM
40%
24%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
3 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unterhaching II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
ISM
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
UNT
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
3 - 3
TSV
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
UNT
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 1
UNT
55%
20%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |