Kottern vs Schalding-Heining analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
9º
38
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
KOT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 3
DEI
35%
23%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
MEM
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
3 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
ERL
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
ISM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 2
SCH
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
TSV
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
SCH
25%
21%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |