Kottern vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
9º
39
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 11% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
3 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
186
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KOT
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 3
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 1
ERL
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
MEM
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
0 - 0
ISM
61%
21%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 1
MEM
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 0
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |