Kottern vs Landsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
8º
5º
4
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
186
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KOT
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 3
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
KOT
23%
21%
55%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Landsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 3
TUR
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
UNT
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
186
1 - 0
LAN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
SON
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |