Kottern vs Kirchanschöring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
9º
29
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 2
FCP
42%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
4 - 2
KOT
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 1
KOT
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
KOT
32%
26%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 2
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchanschöring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
5 - 2
KIR
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
KIR
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 0
186
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 1
KIR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
5 - 1
HEI
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |