Kottern vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
9º
19
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 72% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
KOT
23%
21%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
RAI
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
KOT
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
ILL
15%
20%
64%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 1
DAC
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
ISM
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
HEI
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
VFB
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |