Kottern vs FC Deisenhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
9º
33
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
MEM
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
3 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
186
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KOT
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deisenhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEI
0 - 1
ERL
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
186
3 - 0
DEI
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEI
2 - 0
ISM
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 7
DEI
50%
22%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
DEI
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |