Kottern vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 5
KIR
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HAH
0 - 2
KOT
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PUL
3 - 0
KOT
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
KOT
1 - 3
HEI
25%
21%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ROS
3 - 1
KOT
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
ERL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
KIR
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HAH
3 - 1
BOG
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BOG
5 - 3
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
RUH
1 - 6
BOG
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | +1 |