Kosova vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
13º
13º
19
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kosova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 5
SVS
39%
24%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 1
KOS
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 1
LIN
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 0
KOS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 0
MEN
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 2
WIN
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRE
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 3
KRE
19%
21%
61%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
FRE
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |