Kosova vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kosova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
RSZ
1 - 3
KOS
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
KUS
1 - 4
KOS
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
KOS
1 - 3
UST
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 2
KOS
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
KOS
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
AAR
4 - 2
SUB
84%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 2
AAR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AAR
0 - 1
FCH
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UZU
1 - 1
AAR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 4
SEE
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |