Kose vs Vigri Maarjamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
KOS
3 - 3
SJL
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RUD
2 - 3
KOS
78%
12%
10%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
RAP
5 - 0
KOS
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
VJK
8 - 2
KOS
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
3 - 2
KOS
91%
7%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |