Kose vs Ganvix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
63.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
NOM
1 - 2
KOS
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
KOS
3 - 2
KUL
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
TAR
3 - 2
KOS
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ganvix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 4
VAN
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GAN
4 - 1
PAK
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +5 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
FLO
7 - 3
GAN
75%
14%
10%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GAN
4 - 0
KEI
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GAN
0 - 3
EMM
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |