Kose vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
81.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
KOS
2 - 5
TJK
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KEI
2 - 5
KOS
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TAB
7 - 2
KOS
74%
14%
11%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
JKT
3 - 1
KOS
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
NOU
7 - 0
KOS
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCP
81%
13%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
7 - 1
FAT
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 0
TJK
58%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FAT
3 - 0
TUL
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 0
FAT
25%
21%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |