KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
15º
15º
28
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 36 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 36 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Kortrijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KVC
4 - 0
KVK
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 2
ANT
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AND
4 - 0
KVK
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 0
KSC
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 0
BEE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
BEE
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
KVM
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 5
KVM
26%
25%
50%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |