Kortrijk vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
15º
15º
19
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 91% |
|
Next round
|
23% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
76% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kortrijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 1
KVK
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVK
0 - 3
BRU
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 1
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
KVK
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 0
SDL
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GNK
4 - 0
DEN
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AND
0 - 2
GNK
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
GNK
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
1 - 0
KVC
55%
22%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |