Korona Kielce vs Stal Mielec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
18º
10º
4
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 56 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 51 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 48 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 47 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
2% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 42 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
|
18º
|
4 | 39 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
KOR
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
CRA
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
KOR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
WAR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POG
3 - 0
KOR
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
PGL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
STA
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
GKS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
WLO
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |