Korona Kielce vs KS Cracovia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
18º
14º
19
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 55 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 54 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 53 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 48 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 39 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 38 |
18º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
KOR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
WAR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POG
3 - 0
KOR
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PGL
3 - 0
KOR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
6 - 1
GOR
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 3
WLO
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
RAK
0 - 1
CRA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
PGL
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 4
BOI
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
SIG
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |