Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
18º
13º
14
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
14 | 54 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 53 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
6% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 51 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 50 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 48 |
8º
|
4% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 43 |
12º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 43 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 42 |
16º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 38 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 18% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POG
3 - 0
KOR
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PGL
3 - 0
KOR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
6 - 1
GOR
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
RCH
1 - 4
KOR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 3
RAD
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
6 - 0
CAE
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
ZAL
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
WLO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
GDA
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |