Chungnam Asan FC vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
6º
42
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 55 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 17.5% |
|
Next round
|
30.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chungnam Asan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
KOR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
KOR
39%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 0
ANG
62%
22%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CDR
3 - 2
KOR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
3 - 3
KOR
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 1
BUS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 2
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
GYE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 3
BUS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 2
BUS
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |