Chungnam Asan FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
9º
4º
42
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 65 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 59 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 58 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 53 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 47 |
8º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 43 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 5.5% |
|
Next round
|
53% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chungnam Asan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
KOR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
KOR
39%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 0
ANG
62%
22%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CDR
3 - 2
KOR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bucheon FC 1995
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
ELA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 1
BUC
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEO
0 - 1
BUC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
SUW
25%
27%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GYE
2 - 2
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |