FC KTP vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
12º
11º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 1
GNI
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
KOO
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 2
SEI
29%
27%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
MYP
0 - 14
KOO
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 0
KOO
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 1
OTP
79%
13%
7%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 2
ILV
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
VAA
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
SJK
0 - 11
VAA
4%
9%
87%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 1
VAA
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |