FC KTP vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
12º
11º
31
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KOO
3 - 0
AKA
82%
12%
7%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 2
KOO
13%
18%
70%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 0
HAK
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HJK
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 1
KOO
33%
23%
44%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 1
OUL
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
OUL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
OUL
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
VAA
31%
23%
46%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |