FC KTP vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
6º
6º
22
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 7 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 7 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 7 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 0
KOO
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 0
KOO
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 3
ILV
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
KOO
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HON
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 0
FCL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 1
IFK
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 1
HAK
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 2
IFK
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
VAA
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |