Koninklijke HFC vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
KON
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
BVO
2 - 1
KON
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KON
3 - 0
VVS
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
IJS
1 - 0
KON
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 1
KON
58%
21%
20%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 1
VVS
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DET
1 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 1
KOZ
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
4 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |