Kongahälla vs Stenungsund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
2º
2º
24
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 41 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 37 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kongahälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
BKF
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 0
KON
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 5
KON
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KON
3 - 1
SKS
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KON
5 - 0
LID
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stenungsund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 0
STE
52%
21%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
KUM
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STE
2 - 2
MOT
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LID
3 - 1
STE
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 2
STE
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |