Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-8
Komlói Bányász SK vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
PAN
3 - 0
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
CRV
4 - 1
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
CRV
4 - 0
CZJ
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 2
CRV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
UTA
1 - 3
CRV
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |